Chiangmai Unitedvs
Songkhla
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chiangmai United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chiangmai United 1-1 Songkhla
Original prediction
Chiangmai United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.4% | 44.7% | 12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.3% | 26.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.3% | 29.3% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Chiangmai United
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Chiangmai United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80