Chiangmai Unitedvs
Khon Kaen United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khon Kaen United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chiangmai United 3-1 Khon Kaen United
Original prediction
Khon Kaen United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.7% | 31.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.4% | 28.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.0% | 40.2% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Khon Kaen United
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Khon Kaen United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20