Chiangmai Unitedvs
Kasetsart FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/10/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chiangmai United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chiangmai United 2-0 Kasetsart FC
Original prediction
Chiangmai United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.4% | 43.0% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.0% | 29.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.6% | 27.8% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Chiangmai United
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Chiangmai United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00