Chiangmai Unitedvs
Esan Pattaya
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chiangmai United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chiangmai United 0-1 Esan Pattaya
Original prediction
Chiangmai United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.2% | 38.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 27.9% | 27.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 37.9% | 34.0% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Chiangmai United
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Chiangmai United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00