Chesterfieldvs
Wigan
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/10/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wigan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chesterfield are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Wigan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 68.4 against 67.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Wigan holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wigan
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Wigan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80