GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 1/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesterfield · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chesterfield are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rotherham are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 68.4 against 68.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Chesterfield holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesterfield

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Chesterfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChesterfieldLLLWW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RotherhamWDWDL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ChesterfieldRotherham
53.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence77.8
73.3Form72.2
68.4Power68.7
1.36xG1.24
View match centre →