Chesterfieldvs
Port Vale
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesterfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chesterfield 1-1 Port Vale
Original prediction
Chesterfield
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Chesterfield
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Chesterfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChesterfieldDLWLL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Port ValeLDDLL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ChesterfieldPort Vale
53.3Attack25.0
66.7Defence58.3
73.3Form33.3
68.4Power41.9
1.85xG0.97