Chesterfieldvs
Manchester City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesterfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chesterfield 5-3 Manchester City U21
Original prediction
Chesterfield
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Chesterfield
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Chesterfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChesterfieldDLWLL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Manchester City U21LWLWW
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ChesterfieldManchester City U21
53.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence11.1
73.3Form11.1
68.4Power23.1
2.54xG1.01