ChesterfieldvsManchester City U21

Chesterfield are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Manchester City U21 are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesterfield hold a 45.3-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Chesterfield holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.