Chesterfieldvs
Liverpool U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/11/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesterfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Chesterfield are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Liverpool U21 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesterfield hold a 39.1-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Chesterfield holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesterfield
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Chesterfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00