Chesterfieldvs
Grimsby
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/12/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesterfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Chesterfield are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Grimsby are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesterfield hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Chesterfield holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesterfield
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Chesterfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60