Chesterfieldvs
Dorking Wanderers
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesterfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Chesterfield are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dorking Wanderers are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesterfield hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (67.6 v 38.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.5% in the National League, while Chesterfield holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesterfield
Probability
78.5%
Model confidence
78.5%
Chesterfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00