Chestervs
Worksop Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chester · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chester 0-0 Worksop Town, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chester 4-1 Worksop Town
Original prediction
Chester
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.5% | 46.8% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.0% | 29.7% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 4.66 | 19.5% | 23.5% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Projected Score
Chester 0–0 Worksop Town
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Chester
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Chester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChesterWLLDL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Worksop TownWDWLW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChesterWorksop Town
33.3Attack33.3
70.4Defence55.6
51.9Form44.4
54.3Power46.9
1.02xG0.59