GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chester · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chester are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Stoke City U21 are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chester hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chester holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chester

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Chester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChesterWLWLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Stoke City U21LLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
ChesterStoke City U21
50.0Attack0.0
44.4Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
49.5Power15.3
2.05xG1.40
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