Chestervs
Spalding United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chester · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chester 1-0 Spalding United
Original prediction
Chester
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Chester
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Chester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChesterWWWDW
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Spalding UnitedDLWDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ChesterSpalding United
55.6Attack22.2
88.9Defence88.9
100.0Form44.4
85.2Power53.1
1.45xG0.83