GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chester · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chester are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while King's Lynn Town are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DWDL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chester hold a 55.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the National League - North, while Chester holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chester

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

Chester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChesterLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
King's Lynn TownDWDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
ChesterKing's Lynn Town
66.7Attack16.7
83.3Defence50.0
100.0Form16.7
86.5Power31.3
1.84xG0.89
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