Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cheshunt · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cheshunt 1-1 Whitehawk
Original prediction
Cheshunt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.5% | 55.4% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.5% | 24.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 20.0% | 20.6% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Cheshunt
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Cheshunt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CheshuntWWDWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WhitehawkLLLLW
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CheshuntWhitehawk
25.9Attack33.3
55.6Defence26.7
29.6Form16.7
39.4Power28.9
1.52xG0.81