Cheshuntvs
St Albans City
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St Albans City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cheshunt 1-1 St Albans City
Original prediction
St Albans City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.11 | 28.9% | 34.8% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.9% | 26.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.1% | 39.1% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
St Albans City
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
St Albans City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80