GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/23/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Winchester City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

65.7%

Model confidence

65.7%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CityLDWLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chesham UnitedWinchester City
65.9Attack50.0
63.5Defence46.8
71.4Form45.2
67.2Power48.2
2.41xG0.95
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