GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chesham United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Walton & Hersham are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and walton & Hersham hold a 8.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League - South, favouring Chesham United with 12.9% confidence, a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

12.9%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedLDLLW

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Walton & HershamLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chesham UnitedWalton & Hersham
0.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
7.0Power15.3
1.52xG1.36
View match centre →