Chesham Unitedvs
Tiverton Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/5/2023, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Chesham United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesham United
Probability
69.8%
Model confidence
69.8%
Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80