GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/5/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

69.8%

Model confidence

69.8%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedDWWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tiverton TownLWWDL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chesham UnitedTiverton Town
65.9Attack50.8
63.5Defence41.3
71.4Form41.3
67.2Power46.1
2.69xG0.96
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