GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/10/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

75.7%

Model confidence

75.7%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon SupermarineDDLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chesham UnitedSwindon Supermarine
65.9Attack57.9
63.5Defence27.0
71.4Form38.9
67.2Power42.8
3.37xG1.09
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