GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/21/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sholing are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SholingLDWWD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chesham UnitedSholing
65.9Attack33.3
63.5Defence100.0
71.4Form100.0
67.2Power83.3
1.87xG1.01
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