Chesham Unitedvs
Sholing
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/21/2023, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sholing are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesham United
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60