GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/6/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Salisbury are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedWWDWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SalisburyWDLDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chesham UnitedSalisbury
65.9Attack55.6
63.5Defence63.5
71.4Form62.7
67.2Power62.5
1.59xG1.10
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