GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/24/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Poole Town are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

61.2%

Model confidence

61.2%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Poole TownLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Chesham UnitedPoole Town
65.9Attack33.3
63.5Defence66.7
71.4Form50.0
67.2Power53.0
2.11xG0.91
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