GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Plymouth Parkway are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 75.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedWWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Plymouth ParkwayLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chesham UnitedPlymouth Parkway
65.9Attack100.0
63.5Defence83.3
71.4Form66.7
67.2Power75.5
1.95xG1.17
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