GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/6/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedWWWDW

GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownLWLLW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Chesham UnitedMerthyr Town
65.9Attack67.5
63.5Defence53.2
71.4Form53.2
67.2Power57.2
2.07xG1.32
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