Chesham Unitedvs
Maidenhead
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesham United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chesham United 0-4 Maidenhead
Original prediction
Chesham United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.8% | 47.2% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.6% | 25.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.6% | 27.1% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Chesham United
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00