GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Hungerford Town are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

61.8%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Hungerford TownWWWWW

GF 20 · GA 3 · avg 4.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Chesham UnitedHungerford Town
65.9Attack61.1
63.5Defence44.4
71.4Form50.8
67.2Power52.7
2.49xG1.18
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