Chesham Unitedvs
Hendon
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/24/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Chesham United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hendon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesham United
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40