GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/24/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hendon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

61.5%

Model confidence

61.5%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedWDWDL

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
HendonWLWWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chesham UnitedHendon
65.9Attack55.6
63.5Defence48.4
71.4Form46.0
67.2Power51.9
2.32xG1.07
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