GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/29/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hayes & Yeading United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

67.8%

Model confidence

67.8%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedDWLWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Hayes & Yeading UnitedDLDLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chesham UnitedHayes & Yeading United
65.9Attack46.8
63.5Defence46.8
71.4Form36.5
67.2Power45.1
2.44xG0.88
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