GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/1/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Harrow Borough are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

82.1%

Model confidence

82.1%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Harrow BoroughLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chesham UnitedHarrow Borough
65.9Attack47.6
63.5Defence23.0
71.4Form31.0
67.2Power36.0
3.62xG0.88
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