GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/27/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Hanwell Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

58.6%

Model confidence

58.6%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Hanwell TownLDDWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chesham UnitedHanwell Town
65.9Attack66.7
63.5Defence50.0
71.4Form66.7
67.2Power64.8
2.18xG1.08
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