Chesham Unitedvs
Gosport Borough
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/18/2023, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Chesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesham United
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60