GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/18/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

66.3%

Model confidence

66.3%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedLLDWW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Gosport BoroughWLWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Chesham UnitedGosport Borough
65.9Attack0.0
63.5Defence66.7
71.4Form0.0
67.2Power26.7
2.28xG0.83
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