Chesham Unitedvs
Dover
SCHEDULEDEngland · National League - South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chesham United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Dover are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dover hold a 8.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League - South, favouring a draw with 13.1% confidence, a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
27.7%
Model confidence
13.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40