GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/23/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

70.1%

Model confidence

70.1%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedLWDWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dorchester TownLWLLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Chesham UnitedDorchester Town
65.9Attack52.4
63.5Defence38.9
71.4Form47.6
67.2Power48.3
2.77xG1.00
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