GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/10/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Didcot Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 30.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

85.8%

Model confidence

85.8%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedWDLWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Didcot TownLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chesham UnitedDidcot Town
65.9Attack35.7
63.5Defence25.4
71.4Form22.2
67.2Power30.5
3.57xG0.65
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