GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/20/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bracknell Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

70.0%

Model confidence

70.0%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bracknell TownWLWWL

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Chesham UnitedBracknell Town
65.9Attack50.0
63.5Defence0.0
71.4Form50.0
67.2Power34.5
2.66xG0.94
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