Chesham Unitedvs
Billericay Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chesham United 1-2 Billericay Town
Original prediction
Chesham United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.1% | 38.2% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 24.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 27.0% | 37.1% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Chesham United
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80