GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/28/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Beaconsfield Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

72.5%

Model confidence

72.5%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Beaconsfield TownLLDLD

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chesham UnitedBeaconsfield Town
65.9Attack50.0
63.5Defence38.1
71.4Form38.1
67.2Power44.0
2.85xG0.94
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