GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/25/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 45.7-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

72.8%

Model confidence

72.8%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chesham UnitedWWLLD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Basingstoke TownDLWWL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Chesham UnitedBasingstoke Town
65.9Attack50.0
63.5Defence0.0
71.4Form0.0
67.2Power21.5
2.79xG0.90
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