Chesham Unitedvs
Basingstoke Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/25/2023, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Chesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 45.7-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesham United
Probability
72.8%
Model confidence
72.8%
Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20