GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/7/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Winchester City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 41.4-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

58.4%

Model confidence

58.4%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownLDWLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CityDWLLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chertsey TownWinchester City
83.3Attack50.0
83.3Defence46.8
100.0Form45.2
89.7Power48.2
2.23xG1.13
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