GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/28/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownWLLWL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Tiverton TownLLLWW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Chertsey TownTiverton Town
83.3Attack50.8
83.3Defence41.3
100.0Form41.3
89.7Power46.1
2.48xG1.14
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