GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/9/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 46.9-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

68.5%

Model confidence

68.5%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownWWWLW

GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Swindon SupermarineWDLLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chertsey TownSwindon Supermarine
83.3Attack57.9
83.3Defence27.0
100.0Form38.9
89.7Power42.8
3.10xG1.29
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