Chertsey Townvs
Poole Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chertsey Town 1-3 Poole Town
Original prediction
Chertsey Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.3% | 54.5% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.3% | 22.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.4% | 23.4% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Chertsey Town
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00