GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/14/2025, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Poole Town are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

54.2%

Model confidence

54.2%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownLDWLL

GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Poole TownDDDLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chertsey TownPoole Town
83.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form50.0
89.7Power53.0
1.96xG1.08
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