GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/29/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Plymouth Parkway are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 75.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownDLWWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Plymouth ParkwayDDWLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chertsey TownPlymouth Parkway
83.3Attack100.0
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form66.7
89.7Power75.5
1.81xG1.39
View match centre →