GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/19/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Plymouth Parkway are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 75.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownWDDLD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Plymouth ParkwayLWLLD

GF 10 · GA 18 · avg 2.00/3.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Chertsey TownPlymouth Parkway
83.3Attack100.0
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form66.7
89.7Power75.5
1.81xG1.39
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