GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/26/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownLWWLW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownDWWWW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Chertsey TownMerthyr Town
83.3Attack67.5
83.3Defence53.2
100.0Form53.2
89.7Power57.2
1.93xG1.56
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