GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/25/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Marlow are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 65.9-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

83.8%

Model confidence

83.8%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownLWLDW

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MarlowLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chertsey TownMarlow
83.3Attack35.7
83.3Defence8.7
100.0Form16.7
89.7Power23.7
3.62xG0.78
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